⭐️ China's "Made in China" plan failed, increased trade tensions— April 18, 2025

Jack’s note:

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Hi!

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The Markets:

📉 Fear & Greed Index: 19/100

🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 — Extreme Fear based on VIX

The calculation is based on VIX:
σ² = (2 / T) * Σ[ΔK * (K^(-2)) * e^(RT) * Q(K)] - (1 / T) * [(F / K0) - 1]²

Where:
- T is the time to expiration in years.​
- ΔK is the interval between strike prices.​
- K is the strike price of the option.​
- R is the risk-free interest rate.​
- Q(K) is the midpoint of the bid-ask spread for each option with strike K.​
- F is the forward index level derived from index option prices.​
- K0 is the first strike below the forward index level F.

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Global Indices (As of April 17, 2025)
Mixed performance across major benchmarks: U.S. small‑caps outperformed while the Dow and Europe lagged behind.

• 🔴 Dow Jones: 39,142.23 (High: 39,745.58 | Low: 38,950.31) −527.16 (−1.33%)

• 🟢 S&P 500: 5,282.70 (High: 5,328.31 | Low: 5,255.58) +7.00 (+0.13%)

• 🔴 Nasdaq: 16,286.45 (High: 16,408.51 | Low: 16,181.17) −20.71 (−0.13%)

• 🟢 Small Cap 2000: 1,881.60 (High: 1,890.30 | Low: 1,859.85) +18.12 (+0.97%)

• ⚪ S&P 500 VIX: 29.65 (High: 29.65 | Low: 29.65) +0.00 (0.00%)

• 🟢 S&P/TSX: 24,192.81 (High: 24,307.00 | Low: 24,058.27) +86.02 (+0.36%)

• 🟢 Bovespa: 129,650 (High: 130,091 | Low: 127,973) +1,333 (+1.04%)

• 🟢 S&P/BMV IPC: 53,018.57 (High: 53,459.57 | Low: 52,590.76) +375.53 (+0.71%)

• ⚪ MSCI World: 3,476.92 (High: 3,477.61 | Low: 3,475.46) +2.86 (+0.08%)

• 🔴 DAX: 21,205.86 (High: 21,436.66 | Low: 21,142.26) −105.16 (−0.49%)

• ⚪ FTSE 100: 8,275.66 (High: 8,295.07 | Low: 8,195.66) +0.06 (0.00%)

• 🔴 CAC 40: 7,285.86 (High: 7,331.64 | Low: 7,257.77) −44.11 (−0.60%)

• 🔴 Euro Stoxx 50: 4,937.55 (High: 4,971.25 | Low: 4,921.85) −28.95 (−0.58%)

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Forex & Bonds (Latest)
The U.S. dollar was mixed against major currencies, while Treasury yields climbed sharply across the curve.

• 🟢 EUR/USD: 1.1382 (+0.18%)

• ⚪ USD/JPY: 142.32 (−0.07%)

• ⚪ GBP/USD: 1.3277 (+0.09%)

• 🔴 BTC/USD: 84,655.40 (−0.15%)

• 🟢 5‑Year Treasury Yield: 3.942% (+0.84%)

• 🟢 10‑Year Treasury Yield: 4.333% (+1.26%)

• 🟢 30‑Year Treasury Yield: 4.809% (+1.31%)

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Stock Movers (Sorted by % change)
Big pharma stole the spotlight with LLY surging, while UNH’s steep drop dragged healthcare down.

• 🟢 LLY: +14.30%

• 🟢 AAPL: +1.39%

• 🟢 NFLX: +1.19%

• 🟢 PLTR: +1.15%

• 🟢 JPM: +1.02%

• 🟢 SPY: +0.14%

• ⚪ TSM: +0.05%

• ⚪ TSLA: −0.07%

• 🔴 META: −0.17%

• 🔴 AMD: −0.89%

• 🔴 AMZN: −0.99%

• 🔴 GOOG: −1.38%

• 🔴 GOOGL: −1.42%

• 🔴 INTC: −1.56%

• 🔴 NVDA: −2.87%

• 🔴 UNH: −22.38%

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