⭐️ Dollar's fall shifts global markets; risks, opportunities emerge — April 21, 2025

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The Markets:

📉 Fear & Greed Index: 20/100

🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 — Extreme Fear based on VIX

(It’s best to trade when the index is neutral—right in the middle.)

The calculation is based on VIX:
σ² = (2 / T) * Σ[ΔK * (K^(-2)) * e^(RT) * Q(K)] - (1 / T) * [(F / K0) - 1]²

Where:
- T is the time to expiration in years.​
- ΔK is the interval between strike prices.​
- K is the strike price of the option.​
- R is the risk-free interest rate.​
- Q(K) is the midpoint of the bid-ask spread for each option with strike K.​
- F is the forward index level derived from index option prices.​
- K0 is the first strike below the forward index level F.

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Global Indices

Mixed performance across major benchmarks, with US markets mostly stepping back while smaller‑cap and international bourses saw modest gains.

• 🟢 Small Cap 2000: 1,880.62 (↑17.14 | +0.92%) [17 Apr]

• ⚪ S&P 500: 5,282.70 (↑7.00 | +0.13%) [17 Apr]

• 🔴 Nasdaq: 16,286.45 (↓20.71 | -0.13%) [17 Apr]

• 🔴 Dow Jones: 39,142.23 (↓527.16 | -1.33%) [17 Apr]

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Forex & Bonds

The dollar softened against major currencies as Treasury yields climbed across the curve.

• 🟢 EUR/USD: 1.1541 (↑0.0151 | +1.33%)

• 🟢 GBP/USD: 1.3402 (↑0.0110 | +0.83%)

• 🔴 USD/JPY: 140.79 (↓1.32 | -0.93%)

• 🔴 BTC/USD: 87,075.00 (↓75.00 | -0.09%)

• 🟢 5‑Year Treasury: 3.964 (↑0.022 | +0.56%)

• 🟢 10‑Year Treasury: 4.395 (↑0.062 | +1.43%)

• 🟢 30‑Year Treasury: 4.886 (↑0.077 | +1.60%)

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Major Movers

Tech giants slipped while industrial and financial names outperformed, led by Boeing’s rally.

• 🟢 BA: +3.47%

• 🟢 GS: +2.09%

• 🟢 AAPL: +1.39%

• 🟢 NFLX: +1.19%

• 🟢 IVOV: +1.08%

• 🟢 JPM: +1.02%

• 🟢 IVOO: +0.87%

• 🟢 IWM: +0.82%

• 🟢 SPY: +0.14%

• 🔴 QQQ: -0.02%

• 🔴 TSLA: -0.07%

• 🔴 AMZN: -0.99%

• 🔴 MSFT: -1.03%

• 🔴 GOOG: -1.38%

• 🔴 GOOGL: -1.42%

• 🔴 NVDA: -2.87%

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