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⭐️ xAI seeks $20 billion, valuation may exceed $120B — April 26, 2025
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⭐️ xAI seeks $20 billion, valuation may exceed $120B — April 26, 2025

US tariffs raise inflation expectations

Jack’s note:

Today I will publish a post on The Stock Insider with major accouncements.


Hi!

It’s Jack and the The Stock Insider team with the best non-partisan daily newsletter related to politics, the US stock market, and business. 😇


The Markets:

📉 Fear & Greed Index: 36/100

🟢🔴🔴🔴🔴 — Fear based on VIX (the moods are lifting)

(It’s best to trade when the index is neutral—right in the middle.)

The calculation is based on VIX:
σ² = (2 / T) * Σ[ΔK * (K^(-2)) * e^(RT) * Q(K)] - (1 / T) * [(F / K0) - 1]²

Where:
- T is the time to expiration in years.​
- ΔK is the interval between strike prices.​
- K is the strike price of the option.​
- R is the risk-free interest rate.​
- Q(K) is the midpoint of the bid-ask spread for each option with strike K.​
- F is the forward index level derived from index option prices.​
- K0 is the first strike below the forward index level F.

Global Indices
Markets were broadly higher led by a tech‐driven Nasdaq, while volatility plunged and small caps and Canada underperformed modestly.

  • 🟢 Nasdaq: 17,382.94 (+216.90 | +1.26%)

  • 🟢 DAX: 22,242.45 (+177.94 | +0.81%)

  • 🟢 Euro Stoxx 50: 5,156.05 (+41.07 | +0.80%)

  • 🟢 S&P 500: 5,525.21 (+40.44 | +0.74%)

  • 🟢 MSCI World: 3,618.48 (+22.32 | +0.62%)

  • 🟢 S&P/BMV IPC: 56,720.12 (+338.12 | +0.60%)

  • 🟢 CAC 40: 7,536.26 (+33.48 | +0.45%)

  • 🟢 Bovespa: 134,739.00 (+159.00 | +0.12%)

  • 🟢 FTSE 100: 8,415.25 (+7.81 | +0.09%)

  • 🟢 Dow Jones: 40,113.50 (+20.10 | +0.05%)

  • Small Cap 2000: 1,957.62 (+0.03 | 0.00%)

  • 🔴 S&P/TSX: 24,710.51 (−17.02 | −0.07%)

  • 🔴 S&P 500 VIX: 24.84 (−1.63 | −6.16%)


Forex & Bonds
The dollar was mixed, with yen strength standing out, while bond yields fell across the curve and Bitcoin slid.

  • 🟢 USD/JPY: 143.64 (+1.07 | +0.75%)

  • 🔴 EUR/USD: 1.1362 (−0.0026 | −0.23%)

  • 🔴 GBP/USD: 1.3304 (−0.0035 | −0.26%)

  • 🔴 BTC/USD: 93,932.60 (−812.10 | −0.86%)

  • 🔴 30-Year Treasury: 4.738% (−0.027 | −0.57%)

  • 🔴 10-Year Treasury: 4.266% (−0.039 | −0.91%)

  • 🔴 5-Year Treasury: 3.884% (−0.043 | −1.09%)


Top Movers
Tesla powered the day with a near-10% surge, broad tech names rallied, and Intel lagged heavily.

  • 🟢 TSLA: +9.80%

  • 🟢 RDDT: +5.21%

  • 🟢 PLTR: +4.64%

  • 🟢 NVDA: +4.30%

  • 🟢 ABBV: +3.15%

  • 🟢 META: +2.65%

  • 🟢 GOOGL: +1.68%

  • 🟢 GOOG: +1.47%

  • 🟢 AMZN: +1.31%

  • 🟢 MSFT: +1.17%

  • 🟢 QQQ: +1.11%

  • 🟢 PG: +0.93%

  • 🟢 AAPL: +0.44%

  • 🟢 NFLX: +0.42%

  • 🔴 JPM: −0.45%

  • 🔴 INTC: −6.70%

Below, you can subscribe to my most significant newsletter (almost HALF A MILLION active retail traders). I publish A TON of free articles there.

Most Interesting Events:

TL;DR – Markets might step into Monday digesting four small-but-not-trivial threads: (1) whatever the IMF/World Bank cram into today’s closing communiqué, (2) Beltway chatter from a joke-free White House Correspondents’ Dinner, (3) Day-3 of the NFL Draft, and (4) a pair of micro-cap bank earnings. Independent Bookstore Day adds a niche retail data point. Nothing earth-shaking, but in weekend trading small sparks can carry.


Global & Policy

  • IMF–World Bank Spring Meetings (final day)
    The International Monetary and Financial Committee meets this morning; its communiqué is expected mid-afternoon. Any language on tariffs, global growth, or FX coordination could frame dollar risk when futures reopen Sunday night.

Beltway Events

  • White House Correspondents’ Dinner (6-10 p.m. ET)
    No comedian after Amber Ruffin’s removal. Market relevance depends on the President’s jokes—or a late-night post. It reliably fuels a weekend headline cycle that desks parse on Monday for policy hints.

Market Culture

  • 2025 NFL Draft – Rounds 4-7 (Noon ET)
    A televised ratings draw that often perks option flow in sports-media (DIS, PARA) and betting (DKNG) names.

  • Independent Bookstore Day (nation-wide)
    Last Saturday in April. Alternative-data shops will scrape foot-traffic next week; Amazon’s market-share blip is small but visible every year.

Corporate Items

  • US Metro Bancorp (USMT) – posted Q1 results pre-market; net-interest margin up 23 bp, credit costs flat.

  • First Central Savings Bank – reported EPS $0.17 with a 25 bp sequential margin pop. Thin liquidity means even these micro-caps can shade Monday sentiment.


What won’t move markets today

  • No U.S. macro releases.

  • No scheduled Fed, Treasury, or OPEC events.


Sources

Beyond the Paywall:

  • Most Promising Stocks of The Day (from my new revolutionary Stock Arbitrage Scanner, to be public soon)

  • Most Impactful News Summaries (with sources)

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